狄乾斌,周慧.中国沿海地区人口发展与海洋经济互动关系研究[J].海洋通报,2019,(5):499-507
中国沿海地区人口发展与海洋经济互动关系研究
Research on the interaction between population development and marine economy in China忆s coastal areas
投稿时间:2019-04-25  修订日期:2019-06-03
DOI:10.11840/j.issn.1001-6392.2019.05.003
中文关键词:  海洋经济  人口发展  耦合协调度  脉冲响应函数
英文关键词:marine economy  population development  coupling coordination degree  impulse response function
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(41571127);教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(17JJD790010);辽宁省“百千万人才工程”培养经费资助
作者单位E-mail
狄乾斌 辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心辽宁 大连116029 dqbwmn@163.com 
周慧 辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心辽宁 大连116029  
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中文摘要:
      在分析人口发展与海洋经济互动关系的基本理论上,构建综合评价指标体系,运用耦合协调度模型和脉冲响应函数对2000-2015 年中国沿海11 省市的人口发展与海洋经济发展进行测算,实证结果表明:淤人口发展与海洋经济发展水平整体上波动上升,各沿海省市的经济发展水平差异明显;于人口发展与海洋经济之间的耦合协调度波动上升,研究期内天津市、上海市、广东省均处于高度耦合协调,福建省、山东省耦合协调度提高明显,发展趋势较好;盂人口发展对海洋经济的响应较弱,海洋经济对人口发展的响应较强,沿海各省市人口发展与海洋经济之间的相互响应关系有待加强。
英文摘要:
      Based on the analysis of the basic theories of population development and marine economy, this paper constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system, and used the coupling coordination degree model and impulse response function to measure the population development and marine economic of 11 coastal provinces and cities in China from 2000 to 2015.The empirical results show that The development level of the population and the marine economy volatility rises, and the economic development levels of the coastal provinces and cities are significantly different.The coupling and coordination degree between the population and the marine economy is on the rise. From 2000 to 2015, Tianjin, Shanghai and Guangdong were all highly coupled and coordinated. The coordination degree of Fujian and Shandong improved significantly, and the development trend was better. The population development has a weak response to the development of the marine economy, but the development of the marine economy has a strong response to the population development. And the mutual response between population development and marine economic development in coastal provinces and cities needs to be strengthened.
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